← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| QPR win | 24% | 4.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Stoke −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Ethan Laird · QPR |
| 48' | ⚽ | Albert Adomah · QPR |
| 53' | 🟨 | Samuel Field · QPR |
| 75' | 🟨 | Tyrese Campbell · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luke Amos · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 271.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1600.91 | 1480.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.36 | 2.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | -1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.77 | 0.47 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| league points | 53.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 59.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.00 | 37.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.75 | -2.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.86 | 25.76 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.50 | -1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 211.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |