← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Fri, Apr 28, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Blackpool win | 29% | 3.43 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Blackpool +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Tom Bradshaw · Millwall |
| 24' | 🟨 | Zian Flemming · Millwall |
| 26' | 🟨 | Jake Cooper · Millwall |
| 32' | 🟨 | George Saville · Millwall |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Jerry Yates · Blackpool |
| 59' | ⚽ | Tom Bradshaw · Millwall |
| 67' | ⚽ | Lewis Fiorini · Blackpool |
| 72' | 🟨 | Tom Bradshaw · Millwall |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lewis Fiorini · Blackpool |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Zian Flemming · Millwall |
| 90' | 🟨 | Morgan Rogers |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 27.00 | 1305.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1476.47 | 1631.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.38 | -27.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 41.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 24.71 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |