← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Tue, Apr 25, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 43% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Blackburn win | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Blackburn +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Josh Brownhill · Burnley |
| 47' | 🟨 | Joe Rankin-Costello · Blackburn |
| 53' | 🟨 | Josh Cullen · Burnley |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ian Maatsen · Burnley |
| 62' | 🟨 | Harry Pickering · Blackburn |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jack Cork · Burnley |
| 66' | ⚽ | Manuel Benson · Burnley |
| 70' | 🟨 | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 82' | 🟨 | Arijanet Murić · Burnley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 328.00 | 328.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1601.27 | 1810.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.25 | -14.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.83 |
| league points | 65.00 | 92.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 69.80 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.02 | 1.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 25.82 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.11 | 1.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 18.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |