← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, Apr 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Scott
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Middlesbrough win | 27% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Middlesbrough −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Cameron Archer · Middlesbrough |
| 49' | ⚽ | Tom Lockyer · Luton |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Carlton Morris · Luton |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luke Berry · Luton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amari'i Bell · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 174.00 | 205.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1714.10 | 1712.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.60 | -8.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 75.00 | 74.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.16 | 24.88 |
| state index | 1.12 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 304.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |