← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sun, Apr 23, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
| Sunderland win | 22% | 4.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Sunderland −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 38' | 🟨 | Okay Yokuşlu · West Brom |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | John Swift · West Brom |
| 50' | 🟨 | John Swift · West Brom |
| 51' | ⚽ | Dennis Cirkin · Sunderland |
| 70' | 🟨 | Joe Gelhardt · Sunderland |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luke O'Nien · Sunderland |
| 82' | 🟨 | Lynden Gooch · Sunderland |
| 84' | ⚽ | Dennis Cirkin · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 204.00 | 265.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1638.73 | 1621.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.77 | 15.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.64 |
| league points | 63.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 4.68 | 4.68 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.89 | 24.32 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 270.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |