← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Wigan win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Wigan +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Will Keane · Wigan |
| 30' | ⚽ | George Saville · Millwall |
| 37' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · Millwall |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jake Cooper · Millwall |
| 84' | ⚽ | Thelo Aasgaard · Wigan |
| 90' | 🟨 | James McClean · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | DW Stadium |
| coach days | 111.00 | 1299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1490.39 | 1643.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.81 | -13.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | — |
| league points | 40.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.40 | 24.71 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |