β EFL Championship 2022-23 Β· Sat, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
| Swansea win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea β0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Norwich β0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | β½ | Joel Latibeaudiere Β· Swansea |
| 39' | β½ | Liam Cullen Β· Swansea |
| 42' | π₯ | Sam McCallum Β· Norwich |
| 64' | β½ | Olivier Ntcham Β· Swansea |
| 73' | π¨ | Matt Grimes Β· Swansea |
| 81' | π¨ | Liam Gibbs Β· Norwich |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 111.00 | 629.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1630.87 | 1613.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.63 | 44.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| league points | 62.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 63.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 1.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.41 | 25.93 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| travel km | β | 374.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |