← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 68% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.73 |
| Reading win | 11% | 9.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −1.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Coventry −1.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Thomas Holmes · Reading |
| 36' | ⚽ | Matt Godden · Coventry |
| 43' | 🟨 | Nesta Guinness-Walker · Reading |
| 51' | ⚽ | Lucas João · Reading |
| 54' | ⚽ | Gustavo Hamer · Coventry |
| 56' | 🟨 | Andy Yiadom · Reading |
| 61' | 🟨 | Josh Wilson-Esbrand · Coventry |
| 81' | 🟨 | Gustavo Hamer · Coventry |
| 87' | 🟨 | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brooke Norton-Cuffy · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tyrese Fornah |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 2243.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1642.80 | 1516.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.12 | 6.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -1.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.78 |
| league points | 63.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 34.40 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -1.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | — | 31.41 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.71 | -1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 119.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |