← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 71% | 1.34 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.42 |
| QPR win | 10% | 9.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −1.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Burnley −1.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 58' | ⚽ | Samuel Field · QPR |
| 63' | 🟨 | Taylor Harwood-Bellis · Burnley |
| 76' | ⚽ | Manuel Benson · Burnley |
| 80' | 🟨 | Sinclair Armstrong · QPR |
| 87' | ⚽ | Chris Martin · QPR |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ethan Laird · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Scott Twine · Burnley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Turf Moor |
| coach days | 325.00 | 80.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1829.22 | 1462.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.57 | -24.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -1.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| league points | 92.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 63.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 2.19 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.82 | -1.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 24.99 | 25.76 |
| state index | 1.03 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.43 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 287.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |