← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Rotherham win | 24% | 4.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Bristol City −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Bristol City |
| 39' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Rotherham |
| 52' | 🟨 | Jordan Hugill · Rotherham |
| 56' | 🟨 | Cohen Bramall · Rotherham |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alex Scott · Bristol City |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Jordan Hugill · Rotherham |
| 88' | 🟨 | Andreas Weimann · Bristol City |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andreas Weimann · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ashton Gate |
| coach days | 810.00 | 233.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1559.68 | 1544.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.27 | 19.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 53.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 62.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 37.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -2.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.76 | — |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -1.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |