← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Wed, Apr 19, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 67% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.00 |
| Hull win | 13% | 7.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Middlesbrough −1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ | Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · Hull |
| 55' | ⚽ | Hayden Hackney · Middlesbrough |
| 58' | ⚽ | Cameron Archer · Middlesbrough |
| 61' | ⚽ | Chuba Akpom · Middlesbrough |
| 62' | 🟨 | Chuba Akpom · Middlesbrough |
| 64' | 🟨 | Harry Vaughan · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 200.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1704.74 | 1579.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.20 | 13.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| league points | 71.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.44 | 27.60 |
| state index | 0.58 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.07 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 107.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |