← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Wed, Apr 19, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| QPR win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich +0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| QPR +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 19' | 🟨 | Andrew Omobamidele · Norwich |
| 22' | 🟨 | Onel Hernández · Norwich |
| 30' | 🟨 | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jimmy Dunne · QPR |
| 46' | ⚽ | Adam Idah · Norwich |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ilias Chair · QPR |
| 76' | 🟨 | Chris Martin · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luke Amos · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| coach days | 77.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1458.92 | 1634.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.03 | -9.37 |
| eye test v1 | -1.25 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.27 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.77 |
| league points | 43.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.16 | 25.44 |
| state index | -1.05 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 162.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |