β EFL Championship 2022-23 Β· Wed, Apr 19, 06:45 PM UTC Β· ref: J. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Coventry win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Coventry +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | β½ | Sam Gallagher Β· Blackburn |
| 45' | π¨ | Lewis Travis Β· Blackburn |
| 80' | π¨ | Joe Rankin-Costello Β· Blackburn |
| 90' | π¨ | Ryan Hedges Β· Blackburn |
| 90' | π¨ | Callum Doyle Β· Coventry |
| 90' | β½ | Ben Wilson Β· Coventry |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 322.00 | 2240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1600.19 | 1642.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.29 | 0.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.21 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| league points | 63.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.37 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.07 | β |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.03 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| travel km | β | 157.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |