← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Tue, Apr 18, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 |
| Wigan win | 18% | 5.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Wigan −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Jordan Thompson · Stoke |
| 32' | 🟨 | Max Power · Wigan |
| 54' | ⚽ | Will Keane · Wigan |
| 68' | 🟨 | Ryan Nyambe · Wigan |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nick Powell · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 260.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1616.23 | 1475.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.28 | -12.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.86 | -0.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 52.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.86 | 27.40 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 69.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |