← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.67 |
| Birmingham win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham −0.75 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Sunderland −0.75 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Dennis Cirkin · Sunderland |
| 29' | ⚽ | George Hall · Birmingham |
| 34' | 🟨 | Krystian Bielik · Birmingham |
| 45' | ⚽ | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 70' | 🟨 | Maxime Colin · Birmingham |
| 75' | ⚽ | Amad Diallo · Sunderland |
| 78' | 🟨 | Dennis Cirkin · Sunderland |
| 78' | 🟥 | Dennis Cirkin · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 3 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 257.00 | 288.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1619.17 | 1533.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.09 | 15.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| league points | 58.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -1.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 23.23 | 28.70 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | -0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 272.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |