← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Woolmer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| West Brom win | 28% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| West Brom −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Jacob Brown · Stoke |
| 30' | ⚽ | Jacob Brown · Stoke |
| 44' | 🟨 | Erik Pieters · West Brom |
| 59' | ⚽ | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 61' | 🟨 | Morgan Fox · Stoke |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ben Pearson · Stoke |
| 69' | ⚽ | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 72' | 🟨 | Nathaniel Chalobah · West Brom |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nick Powell · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Thompson · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Pearson |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| 90' | 🟥 | Ben Pearson · Stoke |
| coach days | 257.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1628.29 | 1615.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.06 | -19.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 52.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 59.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.46 | 29.32 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 55.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |