← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 15, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 61% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
| Cardiff win | 14% | 6.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Sheffield United −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.86 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Jack Simpson · Cardiff |
| 17' | 🟨 | Max Lowe · Sheffield United |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Sory Kaba · Cardiff |
| 24' | ⚽ | James McAtee · Sheffield United |
| 38' | 🟨 | Sander Berge · Sheffield United |
| 52' | 🟨 | Callum O'Dowda · Cardiff |
| 54' | ⚽ | Jack Robinson · Sheffield United |
| 57' | 🟨 | George Baldock · Sheffield United |
| 80' | ⚽ | Iliman Ndiaye · Sheffield United |
| 85' | ⚽ | Ciaran Clark · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| coach days | 530.00 | 104.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1724.53 | 1522.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.07 | -12.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.60 | 0.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 76.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 4.69 | 4.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 28.24 |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| travel km | — | 241.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |