← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, Apr 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Salisbury
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 |
| Sheffield United win | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Sheffield United −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Taylor Harwood-Bellis · Burnley |
| 17' | 🟥 | Wesley Foderingham · Sheffield United |
| 28' | 🟨 | John Egan · Sheffield United |
| 59' | 🟨 | Jayden Bogle · Sheffield United |
| 60' | ⚽ | Jóhann Guðmundsson · Burnley |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jóhann Guðmundsson · Burnley |
| 72' | 🟨 | Iliman Ndiaye · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Turf Moor |
| coach days | 313.00 | 525.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1833.21 | 1733.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.65 | 15.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.72 |
| league points | 87.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.23 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 2.01 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.79 | 27.14 |
| state index | 1.33 | 0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.59 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 68.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |