← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, Apr 10, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
| Bristol City win | 26% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Middlesbrough +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Zak Vyner · Bristol City |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sam Bell · Bristol City |
| 49' | ⚽ | Harry Cornick · Bristol City |
| 51' | 🟨 | Andreas Weimann · Bristol City |
| 58' | ⚽ | Aaron Ramsey · Middlesbrough |
| 64' | ⚽ | Matt Crooks · Middlesbrough |
| 86' | 🟨 | Tommy Smith · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ashton Gate |
| coach days | 798.00 | 191.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1573.71 | 1693.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.42 | -10.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | -0.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| league points | 52.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 25.54 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |