← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
| QPR win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| West Brom −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Brandon Thomas-Asante · West Brom |
| 13' | ⚽ | Semi Ajayi · West Brom |
| 22' | ⚽ | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 49' | ⚽ | Chris Martin · QPR |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jamal Lowe · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 191.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1621.13 | 1466.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.54 | -38.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.61 |
| league points | 56.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 64.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 29.66 | 29.10 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 162.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |