← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 66% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.46 |
| Blackpool win | 12% | 8.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Luton −1.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Andy Lyons · Blackpool |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jordan Thorniley · Blackpool |
| 45' | ⚽ | Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu · Luton |
| 47' | 🟨 | Lewis Fiorini · Blackpool |
| 72' | ⚽ | Carlton Morris · Luton |
| 76' | ⚽ | Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu · Luton |
| 81' | 🟨 | Carlton Morris · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 160.00 | 9.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1702.48 | 1469.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.78 | -30.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.65 |
| league points | 68.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.35 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.53 | — |
| state index | 0.94 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 276.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |