← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Bond
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 |
| Birmingham win | 25% | 4.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Stoke +0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Marc Roberts · Birmingham |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ben Wilmot · Stoke |
| 61' | 🟨 | Krystian Bielik · Birmingham |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ben Pearson · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | St Andrew's Stadium |
| coach days | 283.00 | 252.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1531.97 | 1629.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.32 | 22.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 49.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.58 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 28.46 | 26.77 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 60.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |