← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Fri, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Bristol City win | 16% | 6.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Stoke −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Nick Powell · Stoke |
| 71' | 🟨 | Josh Laurent · Stoke |
| 72' | ⚽ | Zak Vyner · Bristol City |
| 85' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 249.00 | 795.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1643.27 | 1559.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 60.17 | -11.94 |
| eye test v1 | 1.36 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.30 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.75 |
| league points | 51.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 27.76 |
| state index | 1.18 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |