← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Fri, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Reading win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Reading +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.55 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Andy Carroll · Reading |
| 29' | ⚽ | Lukas Jutkiewicz · Birmingham |
| 58' | 🟨 | Tyrese Fornah · Reading |
| 72' | 🟨 | Krystian Bielik · Birmingham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 6.00 | 280.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1513.05 | 1530.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.77 | 28.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.68 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 46.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -2.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 31.41 | 29.21 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -1.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 132.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |