← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Fri, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Cardiff win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Blackpool +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Connor Wickham · Cardiff |
| 25' | 🟨 | Charlie Patiño · Blackpool |
| 37' | ⚽ | Sory Kaba · Cardiff |
| 40' | ⚽ | Joe Ralls · Cardiff |
| 74' | ⚽ | Josh Bowler · Blackpool |
| 76' | 🟨 | Callum Connolly · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 6.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1485.85 | 1515.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.36 | -12.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.69 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 39.50 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 35.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.07 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 28.24 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.37 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 259.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |