← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Fri, Apr 7, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Rotherham win | 21% | 4.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Rotherham +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ (pen) | John Swift · West Brom |
| 42' | ⚽ | Jordan Hugill · Rotherham |
| 48' | 🟨 | Conor Coventry · Rotherham |
| 50' | ⚽ | Jordan Hugill · Rotherham |
| 68' | 🟨 | Erik Pieters · West Brom |
| 70' | 🟨 | Kyle Bartley · West Brom |
| 74' | 🟨 | Karlan Grant · West Brom |
| 76' | ⚽ | Tariqe Fosu-Henry · Rotherham |
| 78' | 🟨 | Nathaniel Chalobah · West Brom |
| 82' | 🟨 | Oliver Rathbone · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.08 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 218.00 | 188.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1527.68 | 1638.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.09 | -8.83 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 41.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 62.40 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.79 | 1.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 0.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 29.17 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |