β EFL Championship 2022-23 Β· Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 37% | 2.68 |
| QPR win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR β0.25 | 56% | 1.71 |
| Wigan β0.25 | 44% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | β½ (pen) | Max Power Β· Wigan |
| 19' | π¨ | Ethan Laird Β· QPR |
| 50' | π¨ | Robert Dickie Β· QPR |
| 81' | π¨ | Max Power Β· Wigan |
| 90' | π¨ | Omar Rekik Β· Wigan |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | DW Stadium |
| coach days | 90.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1493.20 | 1486.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.79 | -43.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | -1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.40 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| league points | 34.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 60.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | -1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.40 | 27.04 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| travel km | β | 279.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |