← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Millwall win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall −0.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| West Brom −0.5 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Danny McNamara · Millwall |
| 57' | 🟨 | Brandon Thomas-Asante · West Brom |
| 69' | 🟨 | Daryl Dike · West Brom |
| 69' | 🟨 | Tom Bradshaw · Millwall |
| 73' | 🟨 | George Saville · Millwall |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 182.00 | 1278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1639.50 | 1657.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.18 | -12.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 71.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 55.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 16.76 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.92 | -1.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.82 | 24.71 |
| state index | 0.73 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |