← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Bond
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Sheffield United win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich +0 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Sheffield United +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Max Aarons · Norwich |
| 32' | 🟨 | George Baldock · Sheffield United |
| 34' | 🟨 | Gabriel Sara · Norwich |
| 50' | 🟨 | Sander Berge · Sheffield United |
| 62' | ⚽ | James McAtee · Sheffield United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kenny McLean · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iliman Ndiaye · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 90.00 | 516.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1644.50 | 1720.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.71 | -3.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 65.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 57.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 16.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 25.90 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 203.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |