← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Barrott
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Stoke win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Coventry −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Jacob Brown · Stoke |
| 40' | ⚽ | Tyrese Campbell · Stoke |
| 42' | 🟨 | Gustavo Hamer · Coventry |
| 57' | 🟨 | Michael Rose · Coventry |
| 71' | ⚽ | Will Smallbone · Stoke |
| 77' | ⚽ | Ki-Jana Hoever · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 26 |
| 6 | On target | 11 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 2222.00 | 243.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1655.92 | 1619.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.04 | 26.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.70 |
| league points | 57.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 24.71 |
| state index | 0.95 | 0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 75.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |