← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 38% | 2.61 |
| Swansea win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Swansea +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Joël Piroe · Swansea |
| 33' | ⚽ | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
| 35' | ⚽ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Cardiff |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ryan Manning · Swansea |
| 50' | 🟨 | Olivier Ntcham · Swansea |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jay Fulton · Swansea |
| 57' | 🟨 | Oliver Cooper · Swansea |
| 58' | 🟨 | Andy Rinomhota · Cardiff |
| 83' | ⚽ | Sory Kaba · Cardiff |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cédric Kipré · Cardiff |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joël Piroe · Swansea |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ben Cabango · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 90.00 | 608.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1526.35 | 1568.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.97 | -13.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.58 |
| league points | 39.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 61.60 |
| rest days | 16.76 | 13.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 25.93 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | 1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 54.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |