← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Reading win | 19% | 5.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Bristol City −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Thomas Holmes · Reading |
| 23' | 🟨 | Omar Taylor-Clarke · Bristol City |
| 45' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Bristol City |
| 65' | 🟨 | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 71' | 🟨 | Matty James · Bristol City |
| 72' | ⚽ | Lucas João · Reading |
| 76' | 🟨 | Andy Yiadom · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ashton Gate |
| coach days | 789.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1562.95 | 1509.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.10 | -28.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 48.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 13.06 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 31.41 |
| state index | -0.06 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |