← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Blackburn win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Blackburn +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Auston Trusty · Birmingham |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 53' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Blackburn |
| 61' | ⚽ | Reda Khadra · Birmingham |
| 84' | 🟨 | Tyler Morton · Blackburn |
| 89' | 🟨 | Juninho Bacuna · Birmingham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jobe Bellingham · Birmingham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 3 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | St Andrew's Stadium |
| coach days | 274.00 | 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1519.31 | 1629.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.80 | 27.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.76 |
| league points | 45.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 16.76 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.90 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.79 | 25.07 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 145.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |