← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Scott
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
| Wigan win | 17% | 5.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Wigan −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.63 |
| Over | 40% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Omar Rekik · Wigan |
| 29' | 🟨 | Max Power · Wigan |
| 45' | 🟨 | Danel Sinani · Wigan |
| 45' | ⚽ | Keinan Davis · Watford |
| 51' | ⚽ | James McClean · Wigan |
| 67' | 🟨 | Tendayi Darikwa · Wigan |
| 89' | 🟨 | Keinan Davis · Watford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Imrân Louza · Watford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Vicarage Road |
| coach days | 17.00 | 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1623.79 | 1488.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.89 | -13.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| league points | 54.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.52 | 27.40 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 260.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |