← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Sunderland win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Sunderland +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Cauley Woodrow · Luton |
| 36' | 🟨 | Tom Lockyer · Luton |
| 51' | ⚽ | Alfie Doughty · Luton |
| 81' | 🟨 | Elijah Adebayo · Luton |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Amad Diallo · Sunderland |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlton Morris · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 229.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1605.15 | 1693.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.14 | 30.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.81 |
| league points | 52.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | -0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 23.30 | 26.64 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 342.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |