← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 36% | 2.76 |
| Reading win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Reading +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over | 38% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Regan Slater · Hull |
| 44' | ⚽ | Andy Carroll · Reading |
| 67' | 🟨 | Andy Carroll · Reading |
| 70' | 🟨 | Andy Yiadom · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alfie Jones · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 410.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1510.02 | 1566.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.27 | 3.53 |
| eye test v1 | -1.26 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 44.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 31.41 | 27.60 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 261.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |