← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Birmingham win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Birmingham +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Tahith Chong · Birmingham |
| 22' | 🟨 | Samuel Field · QPR |
| 56' | 🟨 | Luke Amos · QPR |
| 78' | 🟨 | John Ruddy · Birmingham |
| 81' | 🟨 | Auston Trusty · Birmingham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefan Johansen · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sinclair Armstrong · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Long · Birmingham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| coach days | 45.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1497.94 | 1507.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.42 | -9.75 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| league points | 42.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | -1.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 28.82 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | -1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 155.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |