← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Wed, Mar 15, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Bond
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Reading win | 17% | 5.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Blackburn −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Ben Brereton Díaz · Blackburn |
| 28' | 🟨 | Joe Rankin-Costello · Blackburn |
| 68' | ⚽ | Cesare Casadei · Reading |
| 82' | ⚽ | Ryan Hedges · Blackburn |
| 85' | 🟨 | Sam Gallagher · Blackburn |
| 85' | 🟨 | Joe Lumley · Reading |
| 85' | 🟥 | Mamadou Loum · Reading |
| 89' | 🟨 | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 287.00 | 407.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1624.48 | 1515.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.17 | -20.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -1.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| league points | 58.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 4.99 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 31.41 |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| travel km | — | 276.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |