← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Tue, Feb 7, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Scott
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 41% | 40% | 2.38 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 27% | 3.20 | fair |
| Huddersfield win | 29% | 33% | 3.40 | value: +13% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Blackpool −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Scott High · Huddersfield |
| 36' | ⚽ | Matthew Pearson · Huddersfield |
| 45' | 🟥 | Gary Madine · Blackpool |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jack Rudoni · Huddersfield |
| 82' | ⚽ | Andy Lyons · Blackpool |
| 84' | 🟨 | Kenneth Dougall · Blackpool |
| 86' | ⚽ | Josh Koroma · Huddersfield |
| 87' | 🟨 | Anthony Knockaert · Huddersfield |
| 90' | ⚽ | Josh Bowler · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.69 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.58 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 37.00 | 6.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1506.09 | 1570.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.22 | -12.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| league points | 26.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.15 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.36 |
| state index | -0.93 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.76 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| travel km | — | 85.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |