← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 51% | 56% | 1.87 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | 3.68 | fair |
| Coventry win | 22% | 19% | 4.47 | fair |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Coventry −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Ben Sheaf · Coventry |
| 35' | ⚽ | James McAtee · Sheffield United |
| 41' | 🟨 | John Egan · Sheffield United |
| 52' | ⚽ | Ciaran Clark · Sheffield United |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jake Bidwell · Coventry |
| 68' | 🟨 | Kasey Palmer · Coventry |
| 71' | ⚽ | Tommy Doyle · Sheffield United |
| 75' | ⚽ | Viktor Gyökeres · Coventry |
| 77' | 🟨 | John Egan · Sheffield United |
| 77' | 🟥 | John Egan · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| coach days | 420.00 | 2126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.47 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1728.49 | 1629.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.30 | 16.05 |
| eye test v1 | 1.05 | 0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.90 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 44.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 4.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.73 | 26.43 |
| state index | 1.01 | 0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| travel km | — | 102.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |