← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Tue, Nov 8, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 59% | 47% | 1.64 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 4.00 | fair |
| Huddersfield win | 17% | 28% | 5.86 | value: +66% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Huddersfield −0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 9' | ⚽ | Josh Ruffels · Huddersfield |
| 26' | ⚽ | Josh Ruffels · Huddersfield |
| 40' | 🟨 | Brahima Diarra · Huddersfield |
| 45' | 🟨 | Brodie Spencer · Huddersfield |
| 75' | 🟨 | Daniel Ward · Huddersfield |
| 89' | 🟨 | Sorba Thomas · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Rhodes · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lee Nicholls · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 36 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 14 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| coach days | 7.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1613.68 | 1579.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.76 | -26.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.80 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| league points | 31.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.72 | 25.43 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 260.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |