← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Oct 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Sunderland win | 23% | 4.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Luton −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Alfie Doughty · Luton |
| 24' | 🟨 | Corry Evans · Sunderland |
| 33' | 🟨 | Amari'i Bell · Luton |
| 45' | ⚽ | Carlton Morris · Luton |
| 63' | 🟨 | Dennis Cirkin · Sunderland |
| 78' | ⚽ | Elliot Embleton · Sunderland |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Clarke · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 911.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1653.02 | 1580.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.53 | -26.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.78 |
| league points | 24.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.61 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 22.75 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.31 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 342.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |