← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Oct 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 58% | 64% | 1.67 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 24% | 22% | 4.05 | fair |
| Blackpool win | 18% | 14% | 5.80 | fair |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Blackpool −0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Shayne Lavery · Blackpool |
| 8' | ⚽ | James McAtee · Sheffield United |
| 23' | ⚽ | Iliman Ndiaye · Sheffield United |
| 30' | ⚽ | Jerry Yates · Blackpool |
| 42' | ⚽ | Jerry Yates · Blackpool |
| 45' | 🟨 | James McAtee · Sheffield United |
| 51' | ⚽ | Kenneth Dougall · Blackpool |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marvin Ekpiteta · Blackpool |
| 56' | 🟨 | George Baldock · Sheffield United |
| 66' | 🟨 | Dominic Thompson · Blackpool |
| 72' |
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 14 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| 🟨 |
| Oliver Norwood · Sheffield United |
| 72' | 🟨 | Anel Ahmedhodžić · Sheffield United |
| 77' | 🟨 | Tommy Doyle · Sheffield United |
| 78' | 🟨 | Marvin Ekpiteta · Blackpool |
| 78' | 🟥 | Marvin Ekpiteta · Blackpool |
| 81' | 🟨 | Dominic Thompson · Blackpool |
| 81' | 🟥 | Dominic Thompson · Blackpool |
| 90' | 🟥 | Wesley Foderingham · Sheffield United |
| 90' | ⚽ | Oliver Norwood · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 348.00 | 136.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.86 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1708.58 | 1554.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.47 | -8.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 24.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.39 | — |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| travel km | — | 114.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |