← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Oct 15, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Harrington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| QPR win | 24% | 4.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Luton −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.72 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Elijah Adebayo · Luton |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jordan Clark · Luton |
| 54' | 🟨 | Henri Lansbury · Luton |
| 77' | ⚽ | Cameron Jerome · Luton |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Ethan Horvath · QPR |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luke Freeman · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 897.00 | 136.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1648.49 | 1635.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.62 | 49.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 18.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.95 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.63 | 26.82 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.64 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 43.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |