← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Tue, Oct 4, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
| Huddersfield win | 16% | 6.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton −0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Huddersfield −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ (og) | Carlton Morris · Huddersfield |
| 18' | ⚽ | Elijah Adebayo · Luton |
| 32' | ⚽ (pen) | Jordan Rhodes · Huddersfield |
| 37' | ⚽ | Elijah Adebayo · Luton |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jordan Clark · Luton |
| 70' | ⚽ | Ben Jackson · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Kasumu · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Kasumu · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟥 | David Kasumu · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 24 | Shots | 3 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 886.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1651.50 | 1602.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.63 | -52.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 3.99 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.93 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.64 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 216.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |