← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Fri, Sep 30, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Hull win | 31% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Luton +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ (og) | Alfie Jones · Luton |
| 27' | 🟨 | Elijah Adebayo · Luton |
| 35' | 🟨 | Ryan Woods · Hull |
| 44' | ⚽ | Henri Lansbury · Luton |
| 56' | 🟨 | James Bree · Luton |
| 67' | 🟨 | Carlton Morris · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 0 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 272.00 | 882.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1522.33 | 1638.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.42 | 4.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.00 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| league points | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 13.31 | 13.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.70 | 0.55 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 27.71 |
| state index | -0.82 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | -1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 207.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |