← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Sep 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Blackburn win | 29% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Luton −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Carlton Morris · Luton |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Blackburn |
| 58' | ⚽ | Carlton Morris · Luton |
| 61' | 🟨 | Tom Lockyer · Luton |
| 61' | 🟨 | Callum Brittain · Blackburn |
| 67' | ⚽ | Reece Burke · Luton |
| 77' | 🟨 | Cameron Jerome · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 869.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 3.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1627.18 | 1610.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.47 | -11.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.72 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.56 | 55.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.56 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.80 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.44 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.83 | — |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.41 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 247.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |