← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Wed, Sep 14, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Coventry win | 29% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Luton −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Carlton Morris · Luton |
| 11' | ⚽ | Viktor Gyökeres · Coventry |
| 15' | ⚽ | Carlton Morris · Luton |
| 30' | 🟨 | Fred Onyedinma · Luton |
| 61' | ⚽ | Gustavo Hamer · Coventry |
| 68' | 🟨 | Ben Sheaf · Coventry |
| 88' | 🟨 | Henri Lansbury · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 866.00 | 2023.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1630.87 | 1556.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.31 | -35.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 66.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| league points | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 11.20 | 11.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | — |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.48 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.38 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.07 | — |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 95.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |