← EFL Championship 2021-22 · Fri, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 60% | 62% | 1.61 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 21% | 3.88 | fair |
| Reading win | 15% | 17% | 6.69 | value: +11% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −1 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Sheffield United −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Morgan Gibbs-White · Sheffield United |
| 17' | ⚽ | Lucas João · Reading |
| 18' | 🟨 | Josh Laurent · Reading |
| 48' | 🟨 | Andy Yiadom · Reading |
| 57' | 🟨 | George Baldock · Sheffield United |
| 81' | 🟨 | Daniel Jebbison · Sheffield United |
| 87' | 🟨 | Iliman Ndiaye · Sheffield United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michael Morrison · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tom McIntyre · Reading |
| 90' | ⚽ | Iliman Ndiaye · Sheffield United |
| 90' |
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| ⚽ |
| Tom McIntyre · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| coach days | 165.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1671.79 | 1514.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.67 | 21.18 |
| eye test v1 | -1.06 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| league points | 65.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.14 | 28.51 |
| state index | 0.64 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 219.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |