← EFL Championship 2021-22 · Sat, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Bankes
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 45% | 36% | 2.15 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.50 | fair |
| Blackburn win | 27% | 36% | 3.73 | value: +35% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Blackburn −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (og) | Harry Pickering · Coventry |
| 37' | 🟨 | Jan Paul van Hecke · Blackburn |
| 46' | ⚽ | Bradley Dack · Blackburn |
| 49' | 🟨 | Sam Gallagher · Blackburn |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ben Brereton Díaz · Blackburn |
| 68' | 🟨 | John Buckley · Blackburn |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ian Maatsen · Coventry |
| 78' | 🟨 | Viktor Gyökeres · Coventry |
| 78' | 🟨 | Scott Wharton · Blackburn |
| 82' | ⚽ | Scott Wharton · Blackburn |
| 90' |
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| ⚽ |
| Viktor Gyökeres · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| coach days | 1858.00 | 1886.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1584.19 | 1621.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.75 | -27.99 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.69 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| league points | 55.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 14.06 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 24.83 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 157.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |